The Next Home Run King? Using methods created by Bill James, ESPN’s Rob Neyer breaks down the chances that a currently-playing superstar will become the new career home run king. Ken Griffey, Jr., Andruw Jones, Ryan Howard, Adam Dunn, Albert Pujols and Alex Rodriguez are profiled, with Rodriguez listed as having the best chance of breaking the record. I think the Rodriguez projection of 790 is far too low, but that might just be enough to allow him to pass Barry. I hope it happens.