This is one of the first times in a very long time that I’ve seen every film up for a major award at the Academy Awards.
I usually miss a few, but I made a special effort to see everything I could this year. And this does not make me an expert by any means, but at least I’m better informed than I usually am.
These are my picks for the major awards. I don’t really pay attention to the awards leading up to the Oscars, so they don’t influence my picks at all. Mostly, I pick with my gut. It is a gut that has been wrong many times, of course, so I’ll just tell you these are my favorites and we’ll move on. If you want real predictions from a very smart man, go check out my buddy Matt Erickson. He’s way better at this stuff.
BEST PICTURE: 12 YEARS A SLAVE
This is one of the most powerful films I’ve ever seen. So powerful, in fact, that I cannot imagine ever watching it again. It is extremely difficult to watch, and one time was enough. But it was easily the best film I saw this year, by a wide margin. My favorite movie of the year was Wolf of Wall Street, and while that was a fantastic flick, it comes nowhere close to the importance of 12 Years.
BEST DIRECTOR: ALFONSO CUARON, GRAVITY
I’d give this award to Cuaron simply for what he was able to accomplish with Gravity. Such a stunning and unique film.
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Her
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: 12 Years a Slave