New responsibility at work means no preview for this show. I’ll give you my predictions for the main card straight up and then tell you about an interesting parlay bet that’s worth taking a flyer on.
- Kimbo Slice vs. Ken Shamrock: Kimbo
- Jake Shields vs. Paul Daley: Shields
- Andrei Arlovski vs. Roy Nelson: Nelson
- Gina Carano vs. Kelly Kobald-Gavin: Carano
- Benji Radach vs. Murilo “Ninja” Rua: Rua
People will be surprised at how good Nelson actually is. He looks like the prototypical Toughman fighter with his giant belly, but he’s actually a very good submissions guy. I think he’s going to beat Arlovksi.
As far as the parlay goes: I picked Shamrock and Nelson in a two-liner. Nelson’s betting line is great, as Vegas has him as a huge underdog. In reality, I think Nelson wins this fight 7 out of 10 times, so he’s an easy pick on this one. The Shamrock deal is risker, but if you take a chance on the idea that he might either score a fluke KO or submission, then this is an easy line to take as well. Betting roughly $30 will net you $545, so it’s obviously worth doing.